Every name is priced from the next open. Here is what happened next.
Seven weeks of evenings is a start. It is not a track record.
How we count a win
One rule, fixed before the fact, and it never changes to flatter a number.
The lead number, in full
The book the desk publishes every evening, scored the hardest way we know how.
Weekly win rate
The market over the same sessions
Fee free and paper. This is an upper bound on what a reader would have kept.
All four books pooled, held ten sessions
All figures in this section are hypothetical, measured on published names, fee free.
The same rule over seven calendar years
Backtest, hypothetical, not the paper recordEvery hold we measured, including the ones that failed
Every win rate in this table is simulated paper trading, fee free, prices only.
The cells we cannot test
Two ten session numbers, reconciled
The days these books lost
All four books print their weakest number on the very session they were published for.
Every figure in this section is simulated paper trading, fee free, prices only.
One of our four books is worse than a coin flip
What we retired
What a win rate is made of
A win rate is made by a counting rule, and the seller picks the rule. Here is ours under theirs.
Every win rate below is hypothetical, measured on our own published names, fee free.
Every row below is our own published names, entered at the next open, gross. The coin flip column is a random name of the same volatility, same side, same day, run through the same rule.
The same trick, on funds and on options
Backtest, hypothetical, not the paper recordSix competitors, on our ruler
We scored our own names under six competitors' counting rules, and put a coin flip through the same rules.
Our own columns are hypothetical, measured on our published names, fee free.
Four honest credits
Two paper brokers, including the one that lost
Both accounts are here, including the books that lost. One paper broker is down on the same book the other is up on.
A win rate on its own is worth nothing
This is why a win rate on its own is worth nothing. A book can win more often than it loses and still lose money.
Our own check on the paper equity
The receipts
The books that were late or thin
Last night's hashes
The timestamp is ours.
Every published name, and what it did next
What is wrong with this record
Some figures in this section are hypothetical tests on dated history, not the paper record. Each carries its file and date.
Every gap session, with the reason recorded at the time
The file's own caveats, printed whole
Copy this into any AI and check us
Here is our headline with every qualifier attached. Paste it anywhere and ask what is missing.
The whole headline, qualifiers attached
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The evidence is above. The offer is below.
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The nightly book, the full position file and every window on the desk.
Subscribers see tonight’s whole book, sized, the same evening. Free sees the first two names tonight and the rest one session later.
JoinPrices are $19 a month and $190 a year. The first 200 members pay $149 a year, and that price is locked for as long as the subscription stays active.
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